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Josephnam

04 Aug 2025 - 11:06 am

How Trump changed his mind on tariffs

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Peter Nicholas, Garrett Haake and Carol E. Lee
Reporting from Washington
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“Liberation Day” gave way to Capitulation Day last night.

President Donald Trump pulled back yesterday on a series of harsh tariffs targeting friends and foes alike in an audacious bid to remake the global economic order.

Image: President Donald Trump
Saul Loeb / AFP - Getty Images
Trump’s early afternoon announcement followed a harrowing week in which Republican lawmakers and confidants privately warned him that the tariffs could wreck the economy. His own aides had quietly raised alarms about the financial markets before he suspended a tariff regime that he had unveiled with a flourish just one week earlier in a Rose Garden ceremony.
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The stock market rose immediately after the about-face, ending days of losses that have forced older Americans who’ve been sinking their savings into 401(k)s to rethink their retirement plans.

Read the full story here.

32m ago / 12:55 PM GMT+3
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China's foreign ministry calls the U.S. a '21st century barbarian'

Peter Guo

Reporting from Hong Kong

China's public language on its trade war with the U.S. has become increasingly bellicose and took a new turn today when Beijing's foreign ministry said the Trump administration's tariffs have made the U.S. a “barbarian of the 21st century.”

Trump’s tariffs will “never America great again” ministry of foreign affairs spokesperson Huang Jingrui, wrote in an open letter today in Hong Kong’s newspaper South China Morning Post.
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“A tariff-wielding barbarian who attempts to force countries to call and beg for mercy can never expect that call from China,” Huang said, adding that the U.S. is “obsessed with the art of bullying and blackmailing the entire world.”

47m ago / 12:40 PM GMT+3
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EU welcomes 90-day tariff pause

Peter Guo

The EU President Ursula von der Leyen said today that the region welcomes Trump’s announcement to pause tariffs for 90 days.

Von der Leyen said the EU remains “committed to constructive negotiations” with the U.S., according to a statement from her office.

Meanwhile, Europe continues to focus on diversifying their trade partnerships, engaging with countries that account for 87% of global trade, she said.

Trump’s tariffs have shown that the European internal market is the region’s “anchor of stability and resilience” in times of uncertainty, von der Leyen added.

1h ago / 12:27 PM GMT+3
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Trade war with China 'to spark a wave of smuggling'

Peter Guo

Reporting from Hong Kong
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Irregular trade including smuggling will most likely rise amid the U.S.' and China's tit-for-tat tariffs, an economist warns.

The cost of tariffs has become “prohibitive to almost every company,” Tianchen Xu, senior economist at Economist Intelligence Unit.

“As a result, trade flows in both directions will tumble, and irregular trade will proliferate, including smuggling, transshipment and systemic under-reporting of trade value during customs clearance,” Xu said in a note.

Xu said trade negotiations and a partial de-escalation in the ongoing trade war may ensue in the coming months, but those tensions are likely to worsen in the short term between the world’s two largest economies.

1h ago / 12:09 PM GMT+3
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California plant business owner says costs will double with tariffs

Gadi Schwartz and Phil Helsel
The owner of a California home decor and plant shop said that even in dealing locally, the sourcing of goods from China is impossible to avoid.
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Bobbynairm

04 Aug 2025 - 10:08 am

The levies are also likely to reduce America’s economic output, as has happened before. A 2020 study, based on data from 151 countries, including the US, between 1963-2014, found that tariffs have “persistent adverse effects on the size of the pie,” or the gross domestic product of the country imposing them.
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There are a number of possible explanations for this.

One is that, when tariffs are low or non-existent, the country in question can focus on the kind of economic activities where it has an edge and export those goods and services, Gimber told CNN.
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“If you raise tariffs, you’re not going to see that same level of specialization,” he said, noting that the result would be lower labor productivity. “The labor could be better used elsewhere in the economy, in areas where you have a greater competitive advantage.”
Another reason output falls when tariffs are raised lies in the higher cost of imported inputs, wrote the authors of the 2020 study, most of them International Monetary Fund economists.

Fatas at INSEAD suggested the same reason, providing an example: “So I’m a worker and work in a factory. To produce what we produce we need to import microchips from Taiwan. Those things are more expensive. Together, me and the company, we create less value per hour worked.”

Yet another way tariff hikes can hurt the economy is by disrupting the status quo and fueling uncertainty over the future levels of import taxes. That lack of clarity is particularly acute this year, given the erratic nature of Trump’s trade policy.

Surveys by the National Federation of Independent Business in the US suggest the uncertainty is already weighing on American companies’ willingness to invest. The share of small businesses planning a capital outlay within the next six months hit its lowest level in April since at least April 2020, when Covid was sweeping the globe.

“The economy will continue to stumble along until the major sources of uncertainty (including over tariffs) are resolved. It’s hard to steer a ship in the fog,” the federation said.

Whichever forces may be at work, the IMF, to cite just one example, thinks higher US tariffs will lower the country’s productivity and output.

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